The wildcard TLS certificate for *.acme.com is approaching expiry with no auto-renewal configured — flagged proactively, before any outage.
Steps to test
- Open INC0000010.
- Steps 4–7: ssl_cert_expiry_seconds counts down steadily over the full 7-day history — a linear countdown, not a fault spike.
- Steps 10–11: known-error hypothesis at 0.93 confidence.
- Steps 12–14: approved, renewed live, verification RESOLVED.
Outcome: compare this evidence shape to Scenario 1's sudden fault — a slow-building issue looks very different.